Indian Market Weekly Outlook & Sectorwise Stocks Outlook for the Week - 1.Feb.2016 to 5.Feb.2016

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Indian Markets Outlook for the week – 1.Feb.2016 to 5.Feb.2016 RBI policy, earnings, global market eyed next week

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RBI policy, earnings, global market eyed next week

The Reserve Bank of India's monetary policy, Oct-Dec corporate earnings, January
automobile sales numbers, and the movement of crude oil and global equities will set
the trend for equities next week. Consensus shows the Indian central bank is likely to
keep interest rates unchanged at its sixth bi-monthly monetary policy on Tuesday in
the backdrop of recent volatility in financial markets, and the impending Union
Budget for 2016-17 (Apr-Mar). In the absence of uncertainty over interest rates,
market participants will closely monitor the RBI's stance. They expect interest rates to
remain accommodative and data-dependent.

While the tone is likely to be dovish, the RBI, in our view, will also take a moment to
remind markets of its medium-term 4% CPI (consumer price index) target, suggesting
any additional space that does open up will be measured. Through the week, cues
from global markets and the movement of crude oil prices will also be eyed as the
sustainability of gains in global equities will also depend on whether the rebound in
crude oil prices is backed by a follow-up buying. Russia's meeting with the
Organization of the Petroleum Exporting Countries will also be in focus, as crude oil
prices are expected to further gain if major oil producers agree to cut production, to
overcome the glut of crude oil.

On the Intercontinental Exchange Europe, the West Texas Intermediate March crude
oil futures were trading at $33.67 a barrel, up over 1% from the previous close.
Yesterday, indices ended nearly 2% higher each, aided by firm cues from global
markets. Nifty 50 ended the session at 7563.55, up 138.90 points or 1.9% from the
previous close, intraday testing a low of 7402.80 points, and high of 7575.65 points.
Sensex ended at 24870.69, up 401.12 points or 1.6%, intraday moving between
24340.06 and 24911.90 points. The February futures of Nifty 50 ended at 7568.05, at
a premium of only 4.5 points to the spot index, and open interest in the contract rose
2.9% to 19.37 mln.

Tracking the gains in the broader market, the India VIX or volatility index fell 3.7%
to 17.2400. Today, foreign portfolio investors were net buyers of shares, stock and
index futures worth 24.40 bln rupees, data showed. Domestic institutional investors
bought shares worth 2.40 bln rupees.

Next week, Nifty 50 constituents which will announce earnings include Tata Power
Co, Tata Steel, Lupin, Bajaj Auto, Bosch, and Tech Mahindra. On Monday, shares of
Larsen & Toubro will be in focus, and are expected to fall as the engineering major,
post market hours today, cut its order inflow guidance for 2015-16 to flat from 5-7%
earlier. Companies in the automobile space will be in focus as they will announce
their sales numbers for January. The performance of the segment is expected to be
mixed, with four-wheelers and commercial vehicles likely to show growth year on
year, while two-wheelers and tractor sales may remain muted.
www.rupeedesk.in ) 

FREE INTERNATIONAL FOREX & COMMODITY WEEKLY LEVELS WITH LIVE TREND UPDATION: 1.Feb.2016 - 5.Feb.2016


Weekly Outlook for Indian Market & Sectorwise Stocks for the Week - 25.Jan.2016 to 29.Jan.2016

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Indian Markets Outlook for the week – 25.Jan.2016 to 29.Jan.2016 ((Gains seen capped; earnings, global cues eyed))

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The relief rally witnessed in equities yesterday may continue next week provided the
recovery in crude oil prices and global markets sustain. Next week, investors globally
will be eyeing monetary policy decisions of US Federal Reserve and Bank of Japan.
The focus will be more on the commentary of US Fed, particularly after the sharp fall
in crude oil prices. The Fed will hold its two-day meeting on Jan 26-27 and Bank of
Japan on Jan 28-29.

Back home, next week, which a truncated one, will mark the expiry of the January
futures contract and therefore, volatility is set to be high. Indian markets are closed on
Tuesday for Republic Day. Moreover, several companies are scheduled to report
earnings next week, which will also keep action largely stock-specific. After ending
with over 20% losses from their recent highs on Thursday, benchmark indices
recovered smartly yesterday and ended 2% higher as crude oil prices rebounded from
their 12-year lows. Besides, comments from European Central Bank chief Mario
Draghi on Thursday led to prospects of more stimuli from the central bank,
comforting investors.

Yesterday the National Stock Exchange's Nifty 50 ended above the 7400-mark at
7422.45, up 145.65 points or 2.0%, and S&P BSE's Sensex closed at 24435.66, up
473.45 points or 2.0% from close Thursday. We think it (the recovery in the market)
will be more of a short-lived phenomenon. But we believe long-term investors should
use the sharp correction in stocks to accumulate. That the recovery in the market was
purely on the back of covering of short positions was clear from the futures data, as
the January futures contract of Nifty 50 saw an over 5% fall in open interest. But there
are some optimists in the market who believe Indian equities are done seeing major
sell-off and are set for a bounce back. A recovery was certainly due in the market and
it looks like we should see this pullback sustaining.

Earnings Watch

Besides eyeing global developments, the market will continue to focus on corporate
earnings. Nifty 50 companies detailing their Oct-Dec earnings next week include
Bharti Airtel, ICICI Bank, HDFC Bank, HDFC, Larsen & Toubro, Maruti Suzuki
India, NTPC, Vedanta and Power Grid Corp of India.

FREE INTERNATIONAL FOREX & COMMODITY WEEKLY LEVELS WITH LIVE TREND UPDATION: 25.Jan.2016 - 29.Jan.2016


Weekly Outlook for Indian Market & Sectorwise Stocks for the Week - 11.Jan.2016 to 15.Jan.2016

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Indian Market Outlook for the week – 11 to 15.01.2016 (Economic data, earnings eyed next week; bias weak)

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 www.rupeedesk.in ) 


Domestic economic data, Oct-Dec earnings and movements in global
markets will determine the trend for local equities next week, but the
underlying bias is weak as concerns persist on Chinese economy.

Due to the event-loaded week, volatility in the market will be high. We
are expecting a volatile week; hence, short-term traders are advised to
take caution, specially while dealing in mid and small-cap scrips.

On a weekly basis, indices have registered losses of more than 4%,
weighed down by the rout in Chinese markets after People's Bank of
China sharply devalued yuan.

ECONOMIC DATA

India's industrial production data for November and consumer price
inflation for December will be released by the Central Statistics Office
after market hours Tuesday, which will keep trade range bound on
Monday.

India's industrial production likely expanded 5.4% in November. Though
October's increase was largely due to base effects, conditions are on the
mend in India.

In October, IIP came in at a five-year high of 9.8% largely due to a
favourable base effect. Meanwhile, headline consumer price inflation is
expected to rise further in December from a 14-month high of 5.41% in
November.
 www.rupeedesk.in )

Weekly Outlook for Indian Market & Sectorwise Stocks for the Week - 4.Jan.2016 to 8.Jan.2016

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Indian Market Outlook for the week – 04 to 08.01.2016 (Seen positive next week; auto, IT companies in focus)

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Indian Market Outlook for the week – 04 to 08.01.2016 (Seen positive next week; auto, IT companies in focus)



Stock indices are likely to trade positive next week as investor
participation in the market is expected to return without significant selling
pressure. Also, a positive trend in global markets, if any, may aid gains
in local equities.

Information technology companies, which are generally the first ones to
start detailing their quarterly earnings, are likely to be in focus as they
react to earnings estimates for Oct-Dec.

Stocks of automobile companies, who did not detail sales numbers during
market hours yesterday, and will likely do so over the weekend, will also
be in focus. Stocks of public sector banks, which have seen buying
interest this week, may extend gains, even though they are expected to be
short-lived.
www.rupeedesk.in )

FREE INTERNATIONAL FOREX & COMMODITY WEEKLY LEVELS WITH LIVE TREND UPDATION: 4.Jan.2016 - 8.Jan.2016